Western Spirit vs The Gap analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.8%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.4%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.2%
40%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-92%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Western Spirit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
GEO
3 - 2
WES
89%
8%
4%
|
15 | 37 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
WES
0 - 2
BAY
12%
17%
72%
|
16 | 35 | 19 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
ACA
4 - 1
WES
70%
16%
14%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2021 |
STO
3 - 2
WES
62%
18%
20%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
WES
0 - 4
ALB
5%
12%
82%
|
18 | 46 | 28 | -1 |
Matches
The Gap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
BAY
0 - 0
GAP
83%
11%
6%
|
17 | 35 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
BRK
1 - 3
GAP
39%
22%
40%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
GAP
0 - 1
ACA
29%
22%
49%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
ALB
4 - 0
GAP
93%
6%
2%
|
17 | 47 | 30 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
GAP
1 - 0
TLA
8%
13%
79%
|
15 | 36 | 21 | +2 |