Western Spirit vs Newmarket analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.1%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
63.3%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.1%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.3%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-93%
-55%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Western Spirit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2022 |
GEO
4 - 1
WES
87%
9%
4%
|
18 | 39 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
WES
3 - 3
TOO
13%
16%
71%
|
17 | 32 | 15 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
WES
3 - 2
GAP
46%
22%
32%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
WES
4 - 1
MGH
17%
19%
65%
|
14 | 23 | 9 | +2 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
PIN
9 - 0
WES
78%
13%
9%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Newmarket
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
NEW
5 - 2
GAP
84%
11%
6%
|
28 | 16 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2022 |
PIN
4 - 1
NEW
30%
22%
49%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | -3 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
NEW
1 - 4
TLA
41%
22%
37%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2022 |
STO
3 - 4
NEW
19%
19%
62%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
NEW
5 - 2
ACA
63%
19%
18%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | +1 |