Western Spirit vs Bayside United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
71.8%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.9%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.6%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8.1%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-92%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Western Spirit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
ACA
4 - 1
WES
70%
16%
14%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2021 |
STO
3 - 2
WES
62%
18%
20%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
WES
0 - 4
ALB
5%
12%
82%
|
18 | 46 | 28 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
WES
2 - 2
TOO
16%
18%
66%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
WES
0 - 0
STO
37%
22%
41%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Bayside United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
BAY
2 - 0
UNI
79%
13%
8%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
TOO
3 - 2
BAY
38%
22%
40%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2021 |
ACA
3 - 2
BAY
16%
19%
66%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
STO
1 - 2
BAY
18%
19%
63%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
BAY
2 - 3
ALB
24%
22%
54%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | -1 |