Western Phnom Penh vs Police Commissary analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.7%
24.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Western Phnom Penh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
WPP
6 - 0
UCM
51%
20%
29%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2016 |
SRI
7 - 1
WPP
62%
17%
21%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
WPP
3 - 3
CTF
52%
20%
28%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2016 |
PPC
3 - 1
WPP
58%
19%
24%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
WPP
3 - 1
AEU
51%
20%
29%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Police Commissary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
BKE
2 - 1
POL
65%
19%
17%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
CTF
2 - 1
POL
52%
21%
27%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
WPP
1 - 5
POL
53%
21%
27%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
POL
1 - 0
UCM
48%
22%
30%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2016 |
AEU
0 - 1
POL
55%
20%
25%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | +1 |