New Zealand National League Northern League. Jor. 5

West Coast Rangers vs Auckland City analysis

West Coast Rangers Auckland City
20 ELO 50
3.6% Tilt -1.5%
11208º General ELO ranking 3901º
33º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
13.3%
West Coast Rangers
18.7%
Draw
68%
Auckland City

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.3%
Win probability
West Coast Rangers
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
4%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.2%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
68%
Win probability
Auckland City
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.1%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.6%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
West Coast Rangers
+50%
+6%
Auckland City

Points and table prediction

West Coast Rangers
Their league position
Auckland City
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
5
12º
10º
24
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Auckland City
24
53
74.5%
Western Springs
24
48
44%
Eastern Suburbs AFC
18
44
27%
Birkenhead United
22
42
22.5%
Tauranga
13
42
25%
Auckland United
15
33
45%
Bay Olympic
15
29
40%
Manurewa
13
28
47%
East Coast Bays
10º
3
15
34%
West Coast Rangers
5
14
10º
22.5%
Melville United
11º
3
14
11º
19.5%
Hamilton Wanderers
12º
2
13
12º
41.5%
Expected probabilities
West Coast Rangers
Auckland City
Final Series
0% 99%
Mid-table
50% 1%
Relegation
50% 0%

ELO progression

West Coast Rangers
Auckland City
Hamilton Wanderers
Auckland United
Birkenhead United
Western Springs
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

West Coast Rangers
West Coast Rangers
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Apr. 2024
BAO
Bay Olympic
4 - 2
West Coast Rangers
WCR
55%
20%
25%
21 23 2 0
01 Apr. 2024
WCR
West Coast Rangers
2 - 2
Manurewa
MAN
40%
22%
39%
21 25 4 0
29 Mar. 2024
BIR
Birkenhead United
3 - 1
West Coast Rangers
WCR
73%
15%
13%
22 30 8 -1
23 Mar. 2024
WCR
West Coast Rangers
2 - 2
Hamilton Wanderers
HAW
32%
20%
47%
22 26 4 0
02 Sep. 2023
WCR
West Coast Rangers
3 - 2
Takapuna
TAK
65%
18%
17%
22 18 4 0

Matches

Auckland City
Auckland City
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Apr. 2024
HAW
Hamilton Wanderers
2 - 5
Auckland City
AUC
8%
16%
77%
51 24 27 0
01 Apr. 2024
AUC
Auckland City
3 - 1
Tauranga
TCU
43%
23%
34%
50 54 4 +1
29 Mar. 2024
AUC
Auckland City
1 - 0
Eastern Suburbs AFC
EAS
72%
16%
12%
49 43 6 +1
22 Mar. 2024
AFC
Auckland United
0 - 3
Auckland City
AUC
23%
22%
55%
49 36 13 0
16 Mar. 2024
WEL
Wellington Olympic
3 - 3
Auckland City
AUC
56%
20%
24%
49 50 1 0
X