Werder Bremen vs SC Freiburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
24.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Werder Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
MON
1 - 1
BRE
39%
24%
37%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2019 |
S04
0 - 2
BRE
36%
25%
39%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
BRE
3 - 1
M05
57%
22%
21%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
LEV
1 - 3
BRE
50%
23%
28%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2019 |
BRE
4 - 2
S04
42%
25%
34%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
SC Freiburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2019 |
M05
5 - 0
SCF
29%
24%
46%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
SCF
1 - 1
BYM
5%
12%
83%
|
79 | 93 | 14 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2019 |
MON
1 - 1
SCF
56%
22%
22%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
SCF
2 - 1
HER
30%
25%
45%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
LEV
2 - 0
SCF
60%
21%
20%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | -1 |