Werder Bremen vs RB Leipzig analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.1%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.3%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
67.6%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
12%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.8%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.3%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
5º
13º
13º
66
3º
12º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
71 | 71 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
62 | 62 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
59 | 59 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
46 | 46 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
43 | 43 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
42 | 42 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 35 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
34 | 34 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
31 | 31 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
29 | 29 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
0% | 100% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Werder Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2022 |
BYM
6 - 1
BRE
87%
10%
4%
|
79 | 96 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
BRE
2 - 1
S04
48%
25%
27%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
BRE
1 - 0
HER
40%
25%
35%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
SCF
2 - 0
BRE
52%
23%
24%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
PAD
2 - 2
BRE
39%
23%
38%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
RB Leipzig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2022 |
RBL
3 - 1
SCF
54%
23%
23%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
HOF
1 - 3
RBL
24%
23%
53%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2022 |
SHA
0 - 4
RBL
23%
22%
55%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
RBL
2 - 0
LEV
52%
23%
25%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2022 |
RBL
3 - 2
RMA
15%
21%
65%
|
88 | 95 | 7 | 0 |