Werder Bremen vs Arminia Bielefeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.7%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.4%
4-0
8%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.8%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.9%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
12%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12%
6.3%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Werder Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 1985 |
EBT
0 - 2
BRE
22%
24%
55%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1985 |
BRE
6 - 1
KAI
75%
15%
10%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1985 |
KSC
1 - 1
BRE
27%
24%
50%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1985 |
BRE
2 - 2
LEV
77%
14%
9%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1985 |
KOL
3 - 2
BRE
47%
23%
31%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 1985 |
BVB
1 - 3
ARB
70%
18%
12%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1985 |
ARB
3 - 2
EBT
60%
21%
19%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 May. 1985 |
KAI
1 - 1
ARB
71%
18%
11%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1985 |
ARB
4 - 1
KSC
52%
23%
25%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1985 |
LEV
1 - 1
ARB
63%
22%
15%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |