Wels vs St. Martin im Muhlreis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.2%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
35.6%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wels
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2020 |
WEL
3 - 1
DON
34%
23%
43%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2020 |
BAD
1 - 1
WEL
70%
17%
13%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2020 |
WEL
0 - 1
SVW
17%
20%
63%
|
14 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2020 |
VOC
4 - 1
WEL
90%
8%
3%
|
14 | 39 | 25 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
WEL
2 - 1
VOR
7%
15%
78%
|
13 | 53 | 40 | +1 |
Matches
St. Martin im Muhlreis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2020 |
STM
1 - 4
GUR
11%
18%
70%
|
18 | 45 | 27 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
DON
0 - 2
STM
59%
21%
21%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +2 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
SVW
1 - 0
STM
82%
12%
7%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
STM
0 - 1
SPG
39%
23%
38%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
OED
6 - 1
STM
83%
12%
6%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | 0 |