Wellington vs Ilfracombe Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.4%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.9%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.3%
9.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wellington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2023 |
WEL
1 - 1
HEA
17%
19%
63%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
MAF
3 - 0
WEL
84%
11%
6%
|
17 | 35 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2023 |
MLB
0 - 1
WEL
35%
22%
43%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | +2 |
| 10 Apr. 2023 |
CAD
1 - 5
WEL
19%
19%
63%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
WEL
0 - 1
BUC
24%
21%
55%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Ilfracombe Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
TOR
1 - 1
ILF
85%
10%
5%
|
11 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2023 |
ASH
2 - 0
ILF
64%
19%
17%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
ILF
0 - 2
STR
18%
19%
64%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
BAR
2 - 1
ILF
91%
7%
3%
|
11 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2023 |
ILF
0 - 1
ASH
30%
22%
49%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | 0 |