Wellington United vs Petone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.2%
Win probability
3.35
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.3%
6-0
3.8%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5%
5-0
6.8%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.4%
4-0
10.1%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.9%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.5%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
8.2%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.2%
3.5%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wellington United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
WEL
4 - 0
WUF
85%
10%
5%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
WUF
0 - 2
NAP
56%
19%
25%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2021 |
WUF
1 - 4
WEL
20%
18%
62%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | -2 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
WUF
5 - 0
STO
82%
11%
6%
|
27 | 6 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
VUN
3 - 1
WUF
9%
14%
77%
|
30 | 7 | 23 | -3 |
Matches
Petone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
WEL
3 - 0
PET
95%
4%
1%
|
10 | 50 | 40 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
PET
1 - 5
WEL
5%
10%
86%
|
11 | 42 | 31 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
NWA
4 - 6
PET
90%
7%
3%
|
10 | 22 | 12 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
PET
4 - 2
WAF
64%
18%
19%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
MIR
7 - 1
PET
94%
5%
1%
|
9 | 51 | 42 | 0 |