Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
39.3%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wellington Phoenix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
WPH
0 - 3
SYD
43%
25%
32%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
BRI
1 - 2
WPH
43%
25%
32%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
PER
1 - 2
WPH
49%
24%
27%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
WPH
2 - 0
ADE
38%
26%
36%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
MEL
2 - 3
WPH
57%
22%
21%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Melbourne Victory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2015 |
MEL
2 - 1
CCM
67%
20%
13%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
ADE
2 - 2
MEL
39%
25%
35%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2015 |
WES
0 - 3
MEL
37%
24%
39%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
MEL
1 - 1
PER
53%
24%
23%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
MEL
2 - 3
WPH
57%
22%
21%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |