Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
37.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wellington Phoenix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
PER
1 - 2
WPH
52%
24%
24%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
WES
2 - 1
WPH
64%
22%
14%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
WPH
1 - 0
MEL
47%
26%
26%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2013 |
WPH
1 - 2
NEW
51%
24%
24%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
WPH
2 - 2
ADE
40%
27%
34%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Melbourne Victory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
MEL
2 - 3
PER
60%
22%
18%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
SYD
1 - 1
MEL
40%
26%
35%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
BRI
1 - 1
MEL
44%
25%
32%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
MEL
5 - 0
NEW
60%
22%
18%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
CCM
6 - 2
MEL
48%
25%
27%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |