Wellington Olympic vs North Wellington AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88%
Win probability
3.07
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.1%
5-0
6.6%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
+5
8.4%
4-0
10.8%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.3%
3-0
14%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.8%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
8.8%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
8.8%
3.2%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.6%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-55%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
1º
2º
1º
7
7º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
40 | 46 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 37 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 33 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 28 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 24 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 24 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 24 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
7 | 7 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wellington Olympic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
WEL
4 - 2
PET
87%
9%
3%
|
50 | 19 | 31 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
WEL
6 - 1
WAF
90%
8%
2%
|
50 | 10 | 40 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
WKA
1 - 2
WEL
8%
14%
79%
|
49 | 26 | 23 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
WEL
3 - 1
MIR
72%
17%
12%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
AUC
5 - 3
WEL
58%
18%
23%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
North Wellington AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
NWA
0 - 4
WEL
7%
12%
82%
|
17 | 44 | 27 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
NWA
1 - 4
WKA
26%
20%
53%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
WAF
0 - 5
NWA
13%
16%
71%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
MIR
3 - 0
NWA
92%
5%
2%
|
18 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
NWA
1 - 3
WSU
35%
21%
45%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | -1 |