Wellington Olympic vs Napier City Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.4%
Win probability
2.93
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.2%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.9%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.4%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.5%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
11.2%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.2%
5.4%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
1º
2º
1º
30
1º
8º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
40 | 46 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 37 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
30 | 33 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 28 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 24 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 24 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 24 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 7 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wellington Olympic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2023 |
STO
3 - 2
WEL
6%
12%
82%
|
49 | 16 | 33 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
WEL
7 - 0
NWA
88%
9%
3%
|
49 | 16 | 33 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
WEL
4 - 2
PET
87%
9%
3%
|
50 | 19 | 31 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
WEL
6 - 1
WAF
90%
8%
2%
|
50 | 10 | 40 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
WKA
1 - 2
WEL
8%
14%
79%
|
49 | 26 | 23 | +1 |
Matches
Napier City Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2023 |
NAP
2 - 3
WEL
19%
21%
60%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
WAF
1 - 5
NAP
5%
10%
85%
|
27 | 10 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
NAP
5 - 0
WKA
56%
20%
25%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
NAP
2 - 2
WSU
65%
17%
18%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
NAP
1 - 2
MIR
23%
19%
58%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | -1 |