Wellington Olympic vs Auckland City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.7%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.3%
28%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wellington Olympic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
NWA
0 - 5
WEL
2%
8%
90%
|
49 | 9 | 40 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
WEL
6 - 0
PET
95%
4%
1%
|
49 | 15 | 34 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
COA
1 - 5
WEL
6%
11%
84%
|
48 | 27 | 21 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
MIR
0 - 1
WEL
8%
13%
79%
|
48 | 25 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
WEL
8 - 0
IBU
88%
8%
4%
|
49 | 8 | 41 | -1 |
Matches
Auckland City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
MEL
2 - 3
AUC
7%
15%
79%
|
49 | 24 | 25 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
MAN
2 - 1
AUC
14%
19%
68%
|
49 | 19 | 30 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
AUC
4 - 2
BIR
68%
17%
15%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
AUC
3 - 1
HAW
89%
8%
3%
|
49 | 19 | 30 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
BIR
1 - 3
AUC
20%
21%
59%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |