Combined Counties League Southern Counties East Round 5

Welling Town vs Erith Town analysis

Welling Town Erith Town
27 ELO 36
-4.3% Tilt 2.3%
44743º General ELO ranking 10309º
1310º Country ELO ranking 500º
ELO win probability
22.2%
Welling Town
21.1%
Draw
56.8%
Erith Town

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.2%
Win probability
Welling Town
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.3%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
56.8%
Win probability
Erith Town
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
8%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.9%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Welling Town
-90%
+8%
Erith Town

ELO progression

Welling Town
Erith Town
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Welling Town
Welling Town
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Sep. 2022
WHI
Whitstable Town
1 - 3
Welling Town
WET
66%
18%
16%
26 31 5 0
16 Aug. 2022
STF
Stansfeld
1 - 2
Welling Town
WET
74%
15%
11%
24 31 7 +2
13 Aug. 2022
WET
Welling Town
0 - 0
Phoenix Sports
PHO
22%
22%
57%
24 32 8 0
06 Aug. 2022
SUA
Sutton Athletic
1 - 0
Welling Town
WET
57%
20%
23%
24 29 5 0
30 Jul. 2022
RUS
Rusthall
4 - 1
Welling Town
WET
11%
16%
74%
26 13 13 -2

Matches

Erith Town
Erith Town
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Sep. 2022
THR
Three Bridges
2 - 1
Erith Town
ERI
48%
21%
31%
34 34 0 0
20 Aug. 2022
ERI
Erith Town
2 - 1
Bedfont Sports
BED
22%
21%
57%
32 44 12 +2
16 Aug. 2022
FIS
Fisher FC
0 - 1
Erith Town
ERI
39%
22%
39%
32 29 3 0
13 Aug. 2022
ERI
Erith Town
1 - 3
Rusthall
RUS
84%
11%
5%
33 19 14 -1
06 Aug. 2022
PAG
Pagham
0 - 4
Erith Town
ERI
34%
23%
44%
32 30 2 +1