Welling Town vs Corinthian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.2%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.2%
19%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19%
69.8%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
13.5%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.3%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.5%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-87%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Welling Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
WET
1 - 3
LOR
14%
18%
68%
|
13 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2024 |
PUN
4 - 0
WET
81%
12%
7%
|
15 | 28 | 13 | -2 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
ERI
4 - 2
WET
85%
11%
5%
|
15 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
WET
0 - 2
DEA
8%
15%
77%
|
16 | 38 | 22 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
WET
2 - 1
STF
41%
21%
38%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Corinthian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
COR
1 - 3
BEA
53%
23%
24%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2024 |
COR
4 - 1
FIS
76%
15%
9%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
COR
3 - 1
LTF
60%
20%
20%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2024 |
STF
2 - 2
COR
15%
20%
65%
|
32 | 15 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
HYB
0 - 0
COR
18%
22%
60%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | -1 |