Wellen vs Sart-Tilman analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.7%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.3%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.6%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12.2%
7%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wellen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
WEL
1 - 1
LIL
43%
23%
34%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
WIT
2 - 1
WEL
44%
23%
33%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
WEL
1 - 1
DEK
54%
21%
26%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
ZWA
2 - 2
WEL
53%
23%
25%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
WEL
0 - 2
APP
39%
23%
39%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Sart-Tilman
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
GRO
8 - 1
SAR
79%
13%
8%
|
7 | 28 | 21 | 0 |