Wellen vs Lyra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
17.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wellen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
BRE
0 - 4
WEL
34%
22%
44%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
WEL
5 - 0
ESP
26%
25%
49%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | +4 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
SIN
2 - 0
WEL
58%
21%
21%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
WEL
0 - 1
LEO
46%
25%
28%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
SPO
4 - 0
WEL
38%
24%
38%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Lyra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
LYR
1 - 6
HAD
31%
26%
43%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
LYR
0 - 0
BEE
20%
22%
57%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
WIT
1 - 2
LYR
47%
24%
29%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
KSC
7 - 0
LYR
68%
19%
14%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | -2 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
LYR
1 - 1
BIL
44%
23%
33%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |