Tartu Welco vs Maardu FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.8%
1-0
4%
2-1
5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.5%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
61.9%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
4%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tartu Welco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2017 |
MAA
5 - 1
WEL
75%
15%
10%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2017 |
WEL
1 - 5
TAL
26%
23%
50%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
LEV
3 - 1
WEL
68%
18%
14%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
WEL
0 - 3
FLO
23%
25%
53%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
WEL
2 - 2
TIN
38%
23%
39%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Maardu FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2017 |
MAA
5 - 1
WEL
75%
15%
10%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2017 |
MAA
1 - 1
TIN
58%
20%
22%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
RAK
3 - 4
MAA
25%
21%
54%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
MAA
5 - 1
KUR
45%
23%
33%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +2 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
TFS
3 - 4
MAA
51%
21%
28%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |