Wegberg-Beeck vs Homberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.3%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
62.1%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-53%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wegberg-Beeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
BSC
3 - 0
WEG
80%
14%
6%
|
14 | 31 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2006 |
WEG
2 - 4
MSV
26%
24%
50%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2006 |
WEG
0 - 2
VEL
13%
22%
65%
|
16 | 37 | 21 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2006 |
AAA
2 - 1
WEG
73%
17%
10%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
WEG
0 - 1
USO
25%
26%
50%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Homberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
VFB
2 - 1
DUR
63%
20%
17%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2006 |
KLE
2 - 3
VFB
69%
17%
13%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
FCB
1 - 1
VFB
58%
21%
21%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2006 |
WUP
3 - 2
VFB
46%
24%
31%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2006 |
BOR
1 - 1
VFB
77%
14%
9%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | 0 |