Wattenscheid 09 vs B. Leverkusen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.8%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
11%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.1%
8.2%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wattenscheid 09
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1976 |
BRE
4 - 1
WAT
68%
17%
16%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1976 |
WOL
1 - 2
WAT
30%
24%
46%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1976 |
WAT
2 - 5
ARB
62%
22%
16%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 1976 |
AAA
2 - 3
WAT
33%
25%
42%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 1976 |
WAT
2 - 0
SWE
58%
23%
20%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
B. Leverkusen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1976 |
LEV
3 - 1
STP
37%
22%
40%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1976 |
LEV
2 - 2
HAN
26%
28%
46%
|
55 | 76 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1976 |
PRE
2 - 3
LEV
81%
14%
5%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 1976 |
LEV
1 - 1
STP
27%
24%
49%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1976 |
WHE
3 - 1
LEV
58%
23%
19%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |