Watford vs Oxford United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
19.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Watford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1988 |
CHA
1 - 0
WAT
44%
26%
30%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1988 |
WAT
0 - 1
QPR
51%
26%
24%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 1988 |
CHL
1 - 1
WAT
52%
25%
24%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1988 |
WAT
1 - 2
EVE
28%
28%
44%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1988 |
WHU
1 - 0
WAT
54%
24%
22%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Oxford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1988 |
OXF
0 - 0
SOU
46%
26%
28%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1988 |
COV
1 - 0
OXF
63%
21%
16%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1988 |
OXF
0 - 0
ARS
31%
28%
41%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1988 |
CHA
0 - 0
OXF
52%
24%
24%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1988 |
OXF
4 - 4
CHL
48%
24%
27%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |