Watford vs Nottingham Forest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.3%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
12.6%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Watford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
WAT
2 - 0
WYC
78%
16%
6%
|
79 | 59 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
BOU
1 - 0
WAT
51%
25%
24%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
BBU
2 - 3
WAT
28%
28%
44%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2021 |
WAT
2 - 1
DER
66%
20%
14%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2021 |
PNE
0 - 1
WAT
27%
28%
44%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2021 |
NTT
0 - 1
LUT
45%
28%
27%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2021 |
DER
1 - 1
NTT
41%
28%
31%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2021 |
ROT
0 - 1
NTT
44%
26%
31%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
NTT
1 - 0
BBU
37%
27%
37%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
SWA
1 - 0
NTT
60%
24%
16%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | -1 |