Watford vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
31.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Watford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
WAT
1 - 3
STO
61%
23%
16%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
NOR
1 - 3
WAT
48%
26%
26%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
WAT
0 - 2
WOL
37%
27%
36%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
TOT
1 - 0
WAT
70%
19%
11%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2021 |
WAT
1 - 0
CRY
44%
26%
30%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2021 |
NEW
1 - 1
LEE
34%
25%
42%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
MUD
4 - 1
NEW
76%
16%
8%
|
80 | 91 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
NEW
2 - 2
SOU
32%
25%
43%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2021 |
NEW
0 - 0
BUR
44%
26%
30%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
ASV
2 - 0
NEW
50%
23%
26%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | -1 |