Watford vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
42.1%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Watford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
SCU
2 - 2
WAT
42%
26%
32%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2010 |
WAT
2 - 0
BRI
56%
24%
20%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
BAR
1 - 0
WAT
42%
26%
32%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2010 |
WAT
3 - 0
SHE
43%
26%
31%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
BPO
3 - 2
WAT
49%
25%
26%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
NEW
3 - 0
PNE
68%
20%
13%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2010 |
NEW
4 - 1
COV
70%
19%
11%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
SWA
1 - 1
NEW
32%
28%
40%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2010 |
DER
3 - 0
NEW
25%
27%
48%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2010 |
NEW
5 - 1
CAR
55%
23%
22%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | +1 |