Watford vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.6%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
63.5%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Watford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
ARS
1 - 0
WAT
71%
19%
11%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
WAT
0 - 1
SOU
33%
25%
43%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
EVE
2 - 5
WAT
63%
22%
15%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
WAT
0 - 5
LIV
8%
15%
78%
|
79 | 93 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
LEE
1 - 0
WAT
51%
25%
25%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
MUD
0 - 2
MAC
27%
24%
49%
|
90 | 94 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2021 |
ATL
2 - 2
MUD
47%
23%
30%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
TOT
0 - 3
MUD
34%
25%
41%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
MUD
0 - 5
LIV
27%
23%
50%
|
91 | 93 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
MUD
3 - 2
ATL
49%
23%
27%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |