Watford vs Leicester analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
41%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Watford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
BBU
1 - 0
WAT
65%
21%
14%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 1
WAT
57%
23%
21%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
WAT
1 - 0
POS
60%
22%
18%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
WAT
1 - 2
MID
43%
26%
31%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2012 |
CHA
1 - 2
WAT
49%
25%
26%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Leicester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
LEI
1 - 2
CRY
64%
22%
15%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2012 |
LEI
1 - 0
BHA
62%
23%
15%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
BIR
1 - 1
LEI
43%
26%
32%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
LEI
2 - 0
BRI
71%
19%
10%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2012 |
HUR
0 - 2
LEI
36%
26%
38%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | +1 |