Watford vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.4%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.1%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.3%
67.3%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
13.4%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.3%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Watford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
LEI
4 - 2
WAT
64%
21%
15%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
WAT
4 - 1
MUD
15%
22%
64%
|
79 | 90 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
ARS
1 - 0
WAT
71%
19%
11%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
WAT
0 - 1
SOU
33%
25%
43%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
EVE
2 - 5
WAT
63%
22%
15%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
CHL
1 - 1
MUD
49%
25%
26%
|
92 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2021 |
CHL
4 - 0
JUV
45%
26%
30%
|
92 | 92 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
LEI
0 - 3
CHL
26%
25%
49%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
CHL
1 - 1
BUR
72%
18%
9%
|
92 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2021 |
MFF
0 - 1
CHL
13%
21%
66%
|
92 | 81 | 11 | 0 |