Waterloo vs US d'Ophain analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.8%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
17.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Waterloo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
WAT
2 - 2
SPO
9%
19%
73%
|
29 | 50 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
AUD
4 - 0
WAT
49%
22%
29%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -2 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
AMB
0 - 5
WAT
33%
22%
45%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | +2 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
WAT
1 - 2
TUB
63%
19%
18%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
LAS
1 - 1
WAT
70%
17%
13%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
US d'Ophain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
TUB
2 - 0
OPH
88%
9%
3%
|
16 | 48 | 32 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
OPH
0 - 0
APP
12%
16%
73%
|
15 | 32 | 17 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
STO
1 - 1
OPH
88%
9%
4%
|
15 | 31 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
OPH
1 - 2
STA
26%
21%
54%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
BXB
2 - 0
OPH
82%
12%
6%
|
16 | 32 | 16 | -1 |