Waterloo vs Melsbroek analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
5%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.2%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
51.2%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Waterloo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
WAT
1 - 2
FBO
13%
17%
70%
|
22 | 42 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
WOL
0 - 1
WAT
78%
14%
8%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
WAT
1 - 3
TOU
41%
22%
37%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
REB
4 - 0
WAT
86%
10%
5%
|
22 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
WAT
2 - 3
BET
19%
20%
61%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | -1 |