Waterhouse vs Tivoli Gardens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
11%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.6%
20.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Waterhouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2013 |
HAR
0 - 0
WAT
50%
28%
22%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 2012 |
WAT
0 - 1
MON
53%
26%
21%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2012 |
ARN
2 - 4
WAT
47%
28%
26%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2012 |
WAT
1 - 1
SPO
67%
21%
12%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
SAV
1 - 2
WAT
35%
30%
35%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Tivoli Gardens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
TRI
0 - 3
CAV
56%
24%
20%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 2012 |
POR
1 - 0
TRI
40%
31%
29%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
TRI
1 - 2
BOY
55%
25%
20%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2012 |
HIG
0 - 0
TRI
33%
30%
37%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
TRI
5 - 1
LIO
60%
23%
17%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |