Waterhouse vs Tivoli Gardens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.6%
19.3%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Waterhouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
BOY
0 - 1
WAT
48%
28%
24%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2013 |
WAT
3 - 0
POR
48%
27%
25%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +2 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
WAT
0 - 1
LIO
65%
22%
13%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2013 |
TRI
1 - 0
WAT
48%
27%
25%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2013 |
WAT
1 - 0
HAR
49%
27%
24%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Tivoli Gardens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2013 |
POR
1 - 1
TRI
41%
31%
28%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2013 |
HAR
1 - 1
TRI
47%
29%
24%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
SPO
1 - 0
TRI
34%
29%
37%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2013 |
TRI
1 - 0
WAT
48%
27%
25%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2013 |
CAV
1 - 2
TRI
42%
29%
29%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |