Waterhouse vs Mount Pleasant analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
38.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
3º
11º
6º
46
1º
6º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
46 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 46 |
4º
|
66% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 42 |
5º
|
43% | |
|
|
6º
|
41 | 42 |
6º
|
44.5% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 39 |
7º
|
61% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
70% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 22 |
11º
|
86.5% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
86.5% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 15 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
91% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
9% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Waterhouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
CMF
2 - 3
WAT
39%
29%
32%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
WAT
2 - 1
VER
57%
25%
18%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2023 |
ARN
1 - 0
WAT
58%
24%
18%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
WAT
3 - 0
MON
65%
22%
13%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
MOL
2 - 1
WAT
36%
28%
36%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Mount Pleasant
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2023 |
MPA
2 - 2
CAV
42%
28%
31%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
TRI
0 - 2
MPA
30%
27%
43%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
MPA
0 - 0
HAR
57%
25%
18%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
FSC
0 - 0
MPA
30%
27%
44%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
MPA
3 - 0
DFC
48%
27%
26%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |