Waterhouse vs Cavalier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.4%
17.6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Waterhouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2013 |
POR
1 - 1
WAT
43%
31%
27%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2013 |
WAT
3 - 1
BOY
45%
28%
28%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
HIG
0 - 0
WAT
35%
30%
36%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
LIO
1 - 0
WAT
34%
30%
36%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2013 |
WAT
1 - 1
TRI
53%
27%
21%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Cavalier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
CAV
0 - 0
SAV
61%
23%
16%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
CAV
0 - 2
POR
45%
28%
27%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
BOY
1 - 0
CAV
54%
26%
20%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
HIG
0 - 0
CAV
32%
28%
40%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2013 |
CAV
1 - 0
LIO
52%
26%
22%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |