Waterhouse vs Arnett Gardens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
23.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Waterhouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
VER
0 - 2
WAT
24%
30%
47%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
WAT
2 - 1
TRI
53%
25%
21%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
HAR
0 - 2
WAT
30%
29%
41%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
WAT
1 - 1
MPA
45%
27%
28%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
LIO
1 - 1
WAT
30%
29%
41%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Arnett Gardens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
ARN
2 - 0
TRI
44%
27%
29%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
MPA
1 - 1
ARN
54%
25%
21%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
ARN
2 - 1
MOL
59%
23%
18%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2022 |
DFC
1 - 2
ARN
45%
26%
29%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
ARN
3 - 1
MON
56%
24%
20%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |