Waterford United vs Derry City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
32.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Waterford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2021 |
DUN
1 - 0
WAT
66%
21%
13%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2021 |
BOH
1 - 2
WAT
68%
20%
12%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2021 |
BOH
1 - 0
WAT
67%
19%
14%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2021 |
WAT
4 - 1
FIN
48%
26%
26%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
SLR
1 - 1
WAT
48%
26%
26%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Derry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2021 |
DER
1 - 1
BOH
36%
27%
36%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
DRO
1 - 0
DER
38%
27%
36%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2021 |
DER
1 - 0
STP
46%
26%
29%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2021 |
SHR
2 - 1
DER
64%
22%
14%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2021 |
DER
3 - 0
LON
75%
17%
8%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |