Waterford United vs Derry City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
39%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Waterford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2021 |
SLR
3 - 0
WAT
58%
24%
18%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
WAT
0 - 7
DRO
36%
26%
38%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -2 |
| 03 May. 2021 |
SHR
3 - 0
WAT
76%
17%
7%
|
58 | 77 | 19 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2021 |
WAT
0 - 3
DUN
16%
22%
62%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
WAT
1 - 0
LON
51%
25%
24%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Derry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2021 |
SHR
1 - 1
DER
72%
19%
10%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2021 |
DER
1 - 1
LON
62%
22%
16%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2021 |
DER
1 - 2
FIN
59%
23%
17%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2021 |
BOH
1 - 2
DER
55%
24%
21%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
SLR
0 - 1
DER
47%
27%
26%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |