Warnant vs Mormont analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
43%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+54%
Points and table prediction
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
57 | 57 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 43 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 32 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
50% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
50% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
50% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
50% | |
|
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 13 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
| Mid-table | 100% | 100% |
ELO progression
WAR
MOR
GRI
TIE
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Warnant
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO WAR | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
VER
2 - 1
WAR
47%
27%
26%
|
825 | 914 | 89 | +3 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
WAR
2 - 3
HER
45%
27%
28%
|
822 | 853 | -31 | +3 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
LON
0 - 6
WAR
53%
25%
22%
|
821 | 961 | 140 | +4 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
WAR
3 - 1
AIS
46%
27%
27%
|
817 | 871 | -54 | +4 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
RIC
3 - 1
WAR
47%
27%
26%
|
818 | 925 | 107 | +3 |
Matches
Mormont
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO MOR | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
MOR
1 - 2
TIL
35%
27%
38%
|
937 | 1606 | -669 | +3 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
AYW
0 - 2
MOR
50%
26%
24%
|
936 | 1160 | 224 | +4 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
MOR
2 - 1
HUY
57%
23%
20%
|
932 | 474 | 458 | +4 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
CLI
1 - 3
MOR
47%
27%
26%
|
932 | 906 | -26 | +4 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
MOR
3 - 1
VER
46%
27%
26%
|
928 | 902 | 26 | +4 |