Warnant vs Mormont analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
47%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Warnant
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
VER
2 - 1
WAR
72%
16%
12%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
WAR
2 - 3
HER
49%
22%
29%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
LON
0 - 6
WAR
60%
21%
19%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | +2 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
WAR
3 - 1
AIS
34%
24%
43%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
RIC
3 - 1
WAR
76%
15%
9%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Mormont
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
MOR
1 - 2
TIL
22%
22%
56%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
AYW
0 - 2
MOR
28%
23%
49%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
MOR
2 - 1
HUY
52%
22%
26%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
CLI
1 - 3
MOR
53%
20%
27%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +2 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
MOR
3 - 1
VER
33%
22%
45%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | +3 |