Warnant vs Herstal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
29.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-78%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Warnant
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
RAU
0 - 3
WAR
17%
20%
64%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
BEA
3 - 3
WAR
59%
20%
21%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
WAR
1 - 2
STO
29%
24%
47%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
BEA
2 - 1
WAR
54%
22%
25%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
WAR
22 - 0
SPA
85%
11%
5%
|
33 | 5 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Herstal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
HER
4 - 1
BEA
38%
23%
39%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
STO
1 - 2
HER
71%
18%
12%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
HER
0 - 0
WEY
63%
19%
18%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
HER
0 - 1
CLI
29%
23%
49%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
MAL
1 - 3
HER
19%
21%
59%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | +1 |