Waren vs BSC Süd 05 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.9%
1-0
4%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.3%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
65.2%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
10%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.4%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Waren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
BFC
6 - 1
WAR
81%
13%
6%
|
19 | 39 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2012 |
WAR
2 - 0
NEU
9%
17%
74%
|
11 | 42 | 31 | +8 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
WAL
4 - 2
WAR
84%
11%
5%
|
11 | 31 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
WAR
1 - 3
ALT
12%
20%
69%
|
11 | 33 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
WAR
0 - 2
POM
13%
20%
67%
|
12 | 26 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
BSC Süd 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
BSC
0 - 3
LIC
69%
18%
14%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
HAN
0 - 4
BSC
73%
16%
11%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | +2 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
BSC
3 - 1
ALT
25%
23%
51%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | +5 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
LIC
1 - 1
BSC
75%
16%
9%
|
27 | 50 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
BSC
3 - 2
UNI
18%
21%
61%
|
24 | 44 | 20 | +3 |