Ware vs North Leigh analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.6%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
0
21%
33.5%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
2-8
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-56%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
62
2º
12º
3º
43
1º
15º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
61 | 61 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
61 | 61 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
57 | 57 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
55 | 55 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
52 | 55 |
8º
|
72% | |
|
8º
|
54 | 54 |
9º
|
72% | |
|
10º
|
48 | 48 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
48 | 48 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
44 | 44 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
44 | 44 |
13º
|
87.5% | |
|
14º
|
44 | 44 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
43 | 43 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
|
16º
|
43 | 43 |
16º
|
0% | |
|
17º
|
42 | 42 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
37 | 37 |
18º
|
100% | |
|
19º
|
29 | 29 |
19º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ware
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
WAR
2 - 1
AFD
64%
19%
17%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
WAR
4 - 2
WEL
65%
18%
18%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | +2 |
| 18 Jul. 2023 |
WAR
0 - 3
STI
41%
23%
36%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Jul. 2023 |
WAR
1 - 3
HAR
58%
20%
23%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2023 |
DID
1 - 0
WAR
39%
23%
37%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
North Leigh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
NOR
1 - 2
BIS
66%
18%
16%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
AFD
2 - 4
NOR
29%
22%
48%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
NOR
3 - 4
BAR
85%
10%
5%
|
32 | 16 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2023 |
NOR
1 - 4
HUN
27%
22%
51%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
NOR
1 - 2
WHI
15%
20%
65%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | -1 |