Ware vs Kidderminster Harriers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
43.1%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ware
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2007 |
GRE
1 - 4
WAR
36%
24%
40%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2007 |
WAR
4 - 0
WIV
69%
19%
12%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2007 |
BUR
5 - 1
WAR
36%
24%
40%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | -2 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
WAR
4 - 2
WAL
45%
25%
30%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
BRE
2 - 1
WAR
32%
24%
44%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Kidderminster Harriers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
BUR
0 - 2
KID
58%
24%
17%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
KID
0 - 2
WEY
46%
26%
28%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2007 |
HIS
2 - 1
KID
61%
22%
17%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2007 |
KID
1 - 0
HAL
44%
27%
29%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
KID
1 - 1
CRA
44%
28%
29%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |