Ware vs Hertford Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.9%
Win probability
3.17
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
2%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.4%
5-0
6.6%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.7%
4-0
10.5%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.5%
3-0
13.2%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.7%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
8.7%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
8.7%
3.4%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.7%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ware
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
HAN
1 - 0
WAR
39%
22%
39%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
WAR
4 - 1
NOR
87%
9%
4%
|
33 | 15 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2019 |
WAR
3 - 3
SOU
82%
12%
6%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
LEA
3 - 0
WAR
37%
24%
38%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
BED
1 - 3
WAR
13%
16%
71%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Hertford Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
HER
1 - 5
UXB
20%
21%
60%
|
14 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2019 |
HER
2 - 3
CHE
15%
18%
67%
|
15 | 25 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
HER
3 - 5
ASH
35%
22%
43%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
STA
2 - 3
HER
46%
22%
33%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
HER
0 - 0
SOU
34%
22%
44%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |