Ware vs Hendon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
23.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ware
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2022 |
WAR
2 - 4
NOR
52%
21%
28%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2022 |
AFD
0 - 0
WAR
47%
23%
30%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
DID
3 - 1
WAR
11%
17%
72%
|
33 | 15 | 18 | -2 |
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
WAR
3 - 1
COL
91%
7%
3%
|
33 | 13 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
THA
0 - 1
WAR
37%
23%
41%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Hendon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
KEM
0 - 1
HEN
16%
20%
64%
|
26 | 12 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2022 |
HEN
0 - 4
WEA
18%
21%
61%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
HEN
6 - 0
MER
69%
18%
13%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
KIN
4 - 2
HEN
44%
24%
33%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
HEN
0 - 1
FAR
22%
22%
57%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | -1 |