Ware vs Hendon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
31.4%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ware
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2020 |
SOU
0 - 5
WAR
9%
14%
78%
|
34 | 8 | 26 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
HER
1 - 3
WAR
12%
16%
72%
|
33 | 17 | 16 | +1 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
WAR
0 - 0
MAR
67%
18%
16%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
NOR
1 - 2
WAR
6%
13%
81%
|
34 | 11 | 23 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
WAR
2 - 1
TOO
59%
20%
21%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Hendon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
HEN
0 - 0
STA
34%
23%
43%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2020 |
BER
1 - 4
HEN
47%
22%
32%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
WAL
1 - 1
HEN
20%
20%
60%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2020 |
TAU
3 - 3
HEN
72%
15%
13%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
HEN
1 - 4
WHI
26%
23%
51%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | -2 |