Non League Div One Southern Central. Jor. 6

Ware vs FC Romania analysis

Ware FC Romania
29 ELO 18
14.9% Tilt 2.8%
7900º General ELO ranking 9346º
409º Country ELO ranking 540º
ELO win probability
78.5%
Ware
12.9%
Draw
8.6%
FC Romania

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.5%
Win probability
Ware
2.97
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.1%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.9%
8.6%
Win probability
FC Romania
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ware
+24%
-1%
FC Romania

Points and table prediction

Ware
Their league position
FC Romania
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
62
23
11º
20º
19º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
19º
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Berkhamsted
85
92
100%
Biggleswade
69
73
86%
Didcot Town
66
69
53%
Walthamstow
63
67
42.5%
Ware
62
66
62.5%
Cirencester Town
58
62
21.5%
Biggleswade Town
61
62
25.5%
Hadley
55
59
27.5%
Welwyn Garden City
10º
52
58
23.5%
Kidlington
53
56
10º
59%
Waltham Abbey
11º
49
52
11º
29.5%
Thame United FC
12º
47
51
12º
41%
AFC Dunstable
13º
46
49
13º
56%
Hertford Town
15º
38
44
14º
41.5%
Aylesbury United
14º
40
44
15º
60.5%
Harlow Town
20º
6
39
16º
20%
Kempston Rovers
16º
34
37
17º
59%
Highworth Town
17º
28
29
18º
68%
FC Romania
19º
23
27
19º
71.5%
Barton Rovers
18º
23
23
20º
81.5%
Expected probabilities
Ware
FC Romania
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
89.5% 0%
Mid-table
10.5% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 24.5%
Relegation
0% 75.5%

ELO progression

Ware
FC Romania
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ware
Ware
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Sep. 2022
MAL
Maldon & Tiptree
0 - 3
Ware
WAR
52%
23%
26%
27 30 3 0
29 Aug. 2022
WEL
Welwyn Garden City
1 - 3
Ware
WAR
45%
23%
32%
26 27 1 +1
27 Aug. 2022
WAR
Ware
0 - 3
Waltham Abbey
WAL
66%
18%
17%
28 23 5 -2
20 Aug. 2022
BER
Berkhamsted
1 - 0
Ware
WAR
53%
24%
24%
29 35 6 -1
16 Aug. 2022
WAR
Ware
3 - 1
Biggleswade Town
BIG
62%
19%
19%
28 26 2 +1

Matches

FC Romania
FC Romania
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Sep. 2022
FCR
FC Romania
1 - 1
Westfield (Surrey)
WES
30%
25%
46%
18 23 5 0
29 Aug. 2022
WAL
Waltham Abbey
2 - 2
FC Romania
FCR
69%
17%
15%
18 24 6 0
27 Aug. 2022
FCR
FC Romania
2 - 1
Berkhamsted
BER
12%
20%
68%
15 35 20 +3
21 Aug. 2022
FCR
FC Romania
0 - 2
Heybridge Swifts
HEY
20%
23%
57%
16 26 10 -1
17 Aug. 2022
FCR
FC Romania
1 - 1
Barton Rovers
BAR
34%
23%
44%
16 18 2 0
X