Non League Div One Southern Central. Jor. 12

Ware vs Barton Rovers analysis

Ware Barton Rovers
33 ELO 24
22.4% Tilt 6.5%
7896º General ELO ranking 9409º
410º Country ELO ranking 549º
ELO win probability
73.8%
Ware
14.4%
Draw
11.8%
Barton Rovers

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.8%
Win probability
Ware
2.93
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
6%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
14.4%
11.8%
Win probability
Barton Rovers
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ware
+23%
+38%
Barton Rovers

Points and table prediction

Ware
Their league position
Barton Rovers
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
59
12º
41
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Biggleswade Town
66
70
87%
Bedford Town
63
67
86%
Ware
59
62
67.5%
Waltham Abbey
58
61
39%
AFC Dunstable
58
61
19%
Welwyn Garden City
53
56
33.5%
Cirencester Town
51
55
19.5%
Hadley
49
55
15%
Biggleswade
11º
44
53
28.5%
Stotfold FC
49
53
10º
30%
Kings Langley
10º
48
51
11º
72%
Leighton Town
13º
42
45
12º
27.5%
Hertford Town
15º
41
44
13º
20.5%
North Leigh
12º
43
44
14º
24%
Kidlington
16º
40
43
15º
20%
Barton Rovers
14º
41
42
16º
36%
Aylesbury United
17º
39
40
17º
64.5%
Thame United FC
18º
34
35
18º
96%
Kempston Rovers
19º
29
30
19º
97%
Expected probabilities
Ware
Barton Rovers
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
99% 0%
Mid-table
1% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Ware
Barton Rovers
Biggleswade Town
AFC Dunstable
Hadley
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ware
Ware
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Oct. 2023
BFC
Biggleswade
4 - 0
Ware
WAR
46%
22%
32%
34 35 1 0
21 Oct. 2023
WAR
Ware
1 - 1
Stotfold FC
STO
69%
16%
16%
34 31 3 0
14 Oct. 2023
CIR
Cirencester Town
0 - 1
Ware
WAR
51%
21%
28%
33 34 1 +1
07 Oct. 2023
WAR
Ware
3 - 0
Kempston Rovers
KEM
91%
7%
3%
32 15 17 +1
30 Sep. 2023
LEI
Leighton Town
0 - 4
Ware
WAR
72%
18%
10%
30 45 15 +2

Matches

Barton Rovers
Barton Rovers
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 Oct. 2023
AYL
Aylesbury United
0 - 4
Barton Rovers
BAR
37%
23%
40%
23 22 1 0
28 Oct. 2023
BAR
Barton Rovers
3 - 3
Kings Langley
KIN
23%
22%
55%
22 30 8 +1
21 Oct. 2023
BAR
Barton Rovers
1 - 2
Biggleswade
BFC
20%
21%
59%
23 34 11 -1
14 Oct. 2023
KID
Kidlington
1 - 0
Barton Rovers
BAR
48%
22%
30%
23 25 2 0
10 Oct. 2023
BAR
Barton Rovers
2 - 1
Hertford Town
HER
22%
20%
58%
21 28 7 +2
X