Ware vs Barton Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.8%
Win probability
2.93
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
6%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
14.4%
11.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
+41%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
62
2º
12º
3º
44
7º
16º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
61 | 61 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
61 | 61 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
57 | 57 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
55 | 55 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
52 | 55 |
8º
|
72% | |
|
8º
|
54 | 54 |
9º
|
72% | |
|
10º
|
48 | 48 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
48 | 48 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
|
12º
|
44 | 44 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
44 | 44 |
13º
|
87.5% | |
|
14º
|
44 | 44 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
43 | 43 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
43 | 43 |
16º
|
0% | |
|
17º
|
42 | 42 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
37 | 37 |
18º
|
100% | |
|
19º
|
29 | 29 |
19º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ware
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
BFC
4 - 0
WAR
46%
22%
32%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
WAR
1 - 1
STO
69%
16%
16%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
CIR
0 - 1
WAR
51%
21%
28%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
WAR
3 - 0
KEM
91%
7%
3%
|
32 | 15 | 17 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
LEI
0 - 4
WAR
72%
18%
10%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | +2 |
Matches
Barton Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2023 |
AYL
0 - 4
BAR
37%
23%
40%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
BAR
3 - 3
KIN
23%
22%
55%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
BAR
1 - 2
BFC
20%
21%
59%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
KID
1 - 0
BAR
48%
22%
30%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2023 |
BAR
2 - 1
HER
22%
20%
58%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | +2 |