Ware vs Aveley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.6%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
11.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ware
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
WAR
4 - 2
MAL
49%
25%
26%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
WAR
0 - 2
KID
31%
26%
43%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2007 |
GRE
1 - 4
WAR
36%
24%
40%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2007 |
WAR
4 - 0
WIV
69%
19%
12%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2007 |
BUR
5 - 1
WAR
36%
24%
40%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Aveley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
NOR
0 - 2
AVE
65%
20%
15%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
AVE
0 - 6
BRE
28%
26%
46%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
BUR
4 - 1
AVE
68%
18%
14%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
AVE
0 - 3
EDT
24%
25%
50%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | -2 |
| 15 Oct. 2007 |
AVE
1 - 0
WAL
23%
26%
51%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | +2 |